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INFECTIONS
This week, (Wednesday, Oct. 7 through Tuesday, Oct. 13) there have been about 4,300 positive COVID-19 incidents reported in Massachusetts.
In four weeks, the weekly total should be around 3,500 infections, according to the Hub.
Deaths, however, are expected to rise.
The University of Massachusetts Amherst COVID-19 Forecast Hub is a data repository for more than 50 international sources. UMass takes the data and puts it into a graph that shows actual totals of COVID-19 infections and deaths as well as an “ensemble forecast” for the next four weeks. The data can be seen at the national and state levels and is updated every Tuesday morning, according to the Hub’s website.
DEATHS
The number of COVID-19-caused deaths in Massachusetts is expected to rise over the next week before hitting a plateau.
This week (Oct. 7-13), there have been 80 COVID-19-related deaths - the lowest number of deaths in one week since the start of April, according to the Hub.
Over the next week, the Hub is predicting 96 deaths due to COVID-19.
In four weeks, the weekly total number of deaths should be around 87, the Hub reported.
The next prediction from the UMass COVID-19 Forecast Hub is expected on Oct. 20.
The COVID-19 Forecast Hub was founded in March by the Reich Lab at UMass Amherst. It is being supported by faculty and students from UMass, Iowa State, Carnegie Mellon, and international research groups. The Reich Lab is no stranger to infection predictions. It has been working with the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to forecast influenza since 2015.
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